Ride ions. So we get references to the petrol engine, the growing



Child the chronic drunkard, and to other objects in the singular,

When the reference is in fact to the set of all such objects.

121

A N I N T R O D UC T I O N T O C Y B E R NE T I C S

Q UA N TI TY O F V AR IE TY

Sometimes it happens that a statement is equally true of the

Individual and the set: “the elephant eats with its trunk”, for

Instance. But the commonness of such a double application

Should not make us overlook the fact that some types of statement

Are applicable only to the set (or only to the individual) and

Become misleading and a source of confusion if applied to the

Other. Thus a gramme of hot hydrogen iodide gas, at some partic-

Ular moment, may well be 37 per cent ionised; yet this statement

Must not be applied to the individual molecules, which are all

Either wholly ionised or not at all; what is true of the set is false of

The individuals. Again, the Conservative M.P.s have, at the

Moment, a majority in Parliament; the statement is meaningless if

Applied to an individual member. Again, a tyre on a motor-car

May well be travelling due west at 50 m.p.h. when considered as

A whole; yet the portion in contact with the road is motionless, that

At the top is travelling due west at 100 m.p.h., and in fact not a sin-

Gle particle in the tyre is behaving as the whole is behaving.

Again, twenty million women may well have thirty million

Children, but only by a dangerous distortion of language can we

Say that Mrs. Everyman has one and a half children. The statement

Can sometimes be made without confusion only because those

Who have to take action, those who have to provide schools for the

Children, for instance, know that the half-child is not a freak but a

Set of ten million children.

Let us then accept it as basic that a statement about a set may be

Either true or false (or perhaps meaningless) if applied to the ele-

Ments in the set.

Ex.: The following statements apply to “The Cat”, either to the species Felis

Domestica or to the cat next door. Consider the applicability of each state-

Ment to (i) the species, (ii) the individual:

It is a million years old,

It is male,

Today it is in every continent,

It fights its brothers,

About a half of it is female,

It is closely related to the Ursidae.

The set, but has little meaning for any individual, each of whom

Either is or is not married. Examine each man as closely as you

Please, you will find nothing of “0.82” about him; and if he moves

To another village this figure may change to another without his

Having changed at all. Evidently, the “0.82” is a property of the

Village, not of the individual.

Nevertheless, it is sometimes found convenient to pretend that

The fraction has a meaning for the individual, and it may be said

That any one person has a “probability” 0.82 of being married.

This form of words is harmless provided it is borne in mind that

The statement, in spite of its apparent reference to the individual,

Is really a statement about the village. Let this be forgotten and a

Host of “paradoxes” arise, as meaningless and silly as that of

Attempting to teach the “half”-child. Later (in Chapter 9) we shall

Have to use the concept of probability in conjunction with that of

Machine; the origin and real nature of the concept should be borne

In mind perpetually.

Communication. Another subject in which the concept of a

Set plays an essential part is that of “communication”, especially

In the theory developed by Shannon and Wiener. At first, when

One thinks of, say, a telegram arriving, one notices only the sin-

Gleness of one telegram. Nevertheless, the act of “communica-

Tion” necessarily implies the existence of a set of possibilities, i.e.

More than one, as the following example will show.

A prisoner is to be visited by his wife, who is not to be allowed

To send him any message however simple. It is understood that

They may have agreed, before his capture, on some simple code.

At her visit, she asks to be allowed to send him a cup of coffee;

Assuming the beverage is not forbidden, how is the warder to

Ensure that no coded message is transmitted by it? He knows that

She is anxious to let her husband know whether or not a confeder-

Ate has yet been caught.


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