War’s Influence on Wall Street



By Andrew Beattie | Updated September 16, 2013

The world of business has always been a harsh, survival-of-the-fittest environment. Like any realm in which there is competition and the threat of losses, the investing world is rife with conflict. So it is not surprising to see so many military terms creeping into the vocabulary of everyday investors or TV analysts. Take a look at the war-related terms that have invaded the corporate ranks.

Scorched Earth

In 1812, Czar Alexander Romanov decimated the French army that Napoleon led against Russia – even though the French had superior numbers, tactics, quality of soldiers, munitions and everything else you’d put on your guaranteed-victory checklist. So how did one of the greatest military minds of all time lose in such a horrendous fashion? The simple answer is the Czar’s scorched-earth policy: as the Russian army retreated, they burned every shelter, animal and plant that would catch fire, effectively leaving the French army without any “found” supplies to sustain them through a Russian winter. Napoleon’s previous campaigns relied heavily on the spoils of war to replenish the troops, so he was utterly unprepared for an adversary who would rather destroy his own kingdom than let another take it.

Scorched earth continues to be a terrifying strategy for aggressors to face. In business mergers and acquisitions, not every takeover is welcome. In order to scare off a hostile firm, the target firm will liquidate all its desirable assets and acquire liabilities. However, this approach can prove to be a suicide pill because, even if it is successful, the company must try to reassemble itself or go down in the flames of a self-inflicted fire.

Blitzkrieg Tender Offer

In the first two years of the World War II, Nazi Germany crushed its opponents all over Europe by means of the Blitzkrieg or “lightning war” strategy, a set of tightly focused military maneuvers of overwhelming force. Striking with tanks, artillery and planes in one area, the Nazis defeated France’s supposedly impenetrable Maginot Line, which was still accustomed to the traditional front-based warfare.

The Blitzkrieg strategy used in corporate takeovers is a slight departure from the German warfare of the 1940s. A Blitzkrieg tender offer is an overwhelmingly attractive offer a takeover firm makes to a target firm. The offer is designed to be so attractive that objections are few or non-existent, allowing an extremely quick completion of the takeover. This tender offer’s allusion to the World War II is based only upon the speed of the conquest; there was nothing alluring or attractive about the Nazis’ Blitzkrieg.

Dawn Raid

When organized warfare and the military were considered “gentlemen’s affairs”, a declaration of war, a location and a time would be issued to the adversary. Raids and guerilla warfare were the arenas of savages and rebels, not the tactics of a self-respecting army. However, the American Civil War, the two World Wars, the Vietnam War and the improvement of weaponry obliterated the old code of warfare, and made it commonplace to attack at any time – including dawn, when sleep is still thick in the enemy’s eyes. Because at day break the level of preparedness is lower, the dawn raid maximized enemy casualties and so became a standard military practice. This logic has carried over to the corporate sector.

A dawn raid in the investing world occurs when a firm (or investor) purchases a large portion of shares in a target firm at the opening of the market. A stock broker for the hostile firm helps the firm build up a substantial stake (and maybe a controlling interest) in the unsuspecting target. The hostile firm significantly lowers its takeover costs by already holding a big chunk of its prey. Because the process is initiated through a brokerage and at the market opening, the target firm doesn’t figure out what’s going on until it’s too late. Even though only 15% of a firm’s stock can be captured in a dawn raid, this percentage is often enough for a controlling interest. (When an individual investor decides to do this, he or she is referred to as a raider.)

A dawn raid is sneakier and more effective than a formal bid in most cases, but it may lead to resentment from the target firm. Unlike the dawn raid in war, the dawn raid of the corporate world makes the people you just attacked before their morning coffee not just your defeated enemies but now a part of your own army, meaning dissent may soon brew in the ranks.

Capitulation

Capitulation is a term that finds its roots in the Medieval Latin word “capitulare” which means “to draw up terms in chapters”. Since the 1600s, however, capitulate has been synonymous with surrender, or defeat, usually military defeat. In the stock market, capitulation refers to the surrendering of any previous gains in stock price by selling equities in an effort to get out of the market and into less risky investments. True capitulation involves extremely high volume and sharp declines, which are indicative of panic selling. After capitulation selling, many people believe the market place essentially becomes a bargain store because everyone who wanted out of a stock, for whatever reason (including forced selling due to margin calls), has sold. It follows logically (but only in theory) that the stock price should reverse or bounce off the lows. Simply put, some investors believe that true capitulation is the sign of a bottom.

War Chest and War Bonds

The gathering of a war chest has been around as long as war. Emperors and kings would begin to amass tithes and taxes long before declaring war, presumably placing the funds in a chest (maybe labeled with a note “to attack the Dutch” or something). The reason for this hoarding was that experienced warriors cost money: mercenaries made up the bulk of the leadership, and peasants, who were conscripted, provided the cannon fodder.

This tradition of saving up to wage war, either aggressively or defensively, has continued on into the modern world of corporate warfare. Simply put, a war chest refers to the funds a company uses to initiate or defend itself against takeovers.

Rather than pulling out of already stretched budgets, the governments of some countries (U.S. included) use war bonds to raise a war chest. War bonds are government-issued debt, and the proceeds from the bonds are used to finance military operations. War bonds essentially fund a war chest that is voluntarily filled by the public. The appeal for these bonds is purely patriotic as they generally offer a return lower than the market rate. Basically, buying a war bond is supposed to make citizens feel like they are doing their part to support the troops – in the World War II, these bonds were hyped by sentimental persuasion and depictions of the evils of the enemy.

War Babies

War babies are quite common all over the world. Children are classified as war babies if they satisfy one or both of the following:

1. They were born or raised during an invasion of their country.

2. They were fathered by foreign soldiers. This was extremely common in Vietnam. In fact, there are still war babies attempting to gain U.S. citizenship.

In contrast, the war babies of the investing world are the companies that enjoy a jump in stock prices during or before a war (traditionally a time of decline for the market). These companies are usually defense contractors who build munitions, aircraft, artillery, tanks, etc. Although these companies aren’t the bastard children of foreign soldiers, people usually do avoid claiming war babies in times of peace.

The Bottom Line

That’s that for the military parade down Wall Street. Military terms have crept into many vocabularies and the fiercely competitive realm of finance is no exception.

 

Влияние войны на Уолл-Стрит

Мир бизнеса всегда был суровой средой, в которой выживает наиболее приспособленный. Подобно любой сфере, в которой существуют конкуренция и угроза потерь, мир инвестиций изобилует конфликтами. Поэтому неудивительно, что мы видим так много военных терминов “вползших” в повседневный лексикон инвесторов и телевизионных аналитиков. Посмотрите на военизированные термины, вторгшиеся в корпоративные ряды.

Выжженная земля

В 1812 году царь Александр Романов уничтожил десятую часть французской армии, которую Наполеон повел против России, – хотя французы имели превосходство в численности, тактике, подготовке солдат, оружии и боеприпасах и во всем, что можно было бы включить в перечень условий для гарантированного достижения победы. Так почему же один из величайших военных умов всех времен потерпел такое ужасное поражение? Простой ответ заключается в политике выжженной земли, проводимой царем: при отступлении русской армии, она сжигала каждое убежище, животного и урожай, которые можно было поджечь, фактически оставляя французскую армию без какого-либо “подножного” снабжения, чтобы поддержать её в течение русской зимы. Предыдущие кампании Наполеона сильно полагались на захваченные военные трофеи для пополнения войск, поэтому он был совершенно не готов к встрече с противником, который скорее разрушит своё собственное государство, чем позволит другому захватить его.

“Выжженная земля” продолжает оставаться ужасающей стратегией, с которой может столкнуться агрессор. В слияниях и приобретениях, происходящих в бизнесе, не каждое поглощение приветствуется. Чтобы отпугнуть враждебную фирму, фирма-цель (поглощаемая компания) ликвидирует все желаемые активы и приобретает обязательства. Однако этот подход может оказаться “таблеткой для самоубийства”, потому что, даже если он окажется успешным, компании придется пытаться “собрать себя заново” или сгореть в огне пожара, который сама себе устроила.


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